SEPTEMBER 11, 2024
The Dangers of Forecasting the Financial Impact of the 2024 Election
As "The Black Swan" author Nassim Taleb aptly points out, “Our track record in figuring out significant rare events in politics and economics is not close to zero; it is zero” (Antifragile, pg. 150).
Election Countdown
U.S. Presidential election Election 2024
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Historically, the stock market has been a reliable predictor of Presidential elections beginning 90 days prior to election day. Positive S&P 500 returns typically signal a win for the incumbent party, while negative returns favor the challenger. See performance above. Learn More
Featured Video
State of The Race - Presidential Debate Insights
Tim Holland and Steve Pavlick take on the state of the race: An update on the Presidential Election and the battle for Congress (as of September 11, 2024).
Dig Deeper
The Complete Election Collection
Behavioral Finance
Podcasts
Standard Deviations Podcast: The Election and Your Money
Wealth Management
Blogs
The Weekly Wire: Correction Territory – Stock Market Pullback Offers Opportunities Amid Recession Signals
6 min read
Wealth Management
Blogs
The Weekly Wire: Strong Finish Amidst Volatility and Positive Economic Growth
5 min read
Wealth Management
Blogs
The Weekly Wire: Navigating Market Shifts Amidst Political Uncertainty
5 min read
Wealth Management
Blogs
The Weekly Wire: From Small Cap Surges to Inflation Reports – Key Takeaways from a Historic Week
5 min read
Wealth Management
Checklists/Tipsheets
5 Tips for Navigating the Markets During an Election
From Our Partners
Partner Resources
Chief Investment Officer – OCIO
Tim Holland
Dive deep into weekly market performance with Tim Holland, Orion’s Chief Investment Officer – OCIO, who oversees the investment management and strategies for Orion Portfolio Solutions and Brinker Capital Investments, providing the firm’s macroeconomic and capital markets outlook to financial advisors, investors, and the media.
Chief Behavioral Officer
Dr. Daniel Crosby
Get the best in BeFi with a wealth of content from Orion’s Chief Behavioral Officer, Dr. Daniel Crosby. From his award-winning Standard Deviations podcast to his New York Times bestseller, Personal Benchmark: Integrating Behavioral Finance and Investment Management, Dr. Crosby has developed no shortage of proprietary courses, tools, resources and more for your behavioral finance journey.
Chief Investment Officer – Wealth Management
Rusty Vanneman
Start strategizing with the bevy of resources produced by Orion’s Chief Investment Officer – Wealth Management, Rusty Vanneman, CFA, CMT, BFA — from his two podcasts, The Weighing Machine and Weighing the Risks, to weekly and monthly market insights, to so much more.